Unemployment and wages: facts the Liberal Party ignore and the unions refuse to debate
Gerard Jackson
Union leaders, clerics, labour politicians and most journalists are claiming that the Liberal Party’s labour reforms will have terrible consequences for real wages. Ross Gittins, Sydney Morning Herald’s economics editor, used the work of Professor Bob Gregory to assert that it would take massive wage cuts to clear the market for unskilled labour (Reform push needs more evidence, March 13, 2006).
This an old saw in the media. For example, back in 1996 Malcolm McGregor (an appalling economic illiterate) was writing in the Australian Financial Review that free labour market policies “means reducing wages, and rely on a pool of able bodied unemployed to frighten those with jobs into acquiescence . . . It is a formula for economic stagnation and social decay”. In 1994 the same rag published an article by Grant Belchamber, senior research officer for the ACTU, asserting that “labour market ‘deregulation’ is essentially an abstract notion . . . .” No wonder the public is confused.
Let us once again return to basics. In a free market there is always a tendency for every factor of production to receive the full value of its product, particularly labour. If unions or governments fix wage rates above the value of labour’s marginal product (the point at which the supply curve intersects the demand curve) then unemployment is inevitable.
It is therefore a cruel myth that unions can raise real wages for everyone. There is only one way to do that and that is by raising the amount of capital invested per head of the population. Increased capital accumulation raises labour’s marginal product which in turn raises its purchasing power. This happens because an expanding capital structure makes labour scarce relative to capital thus raising real wages.
Should the capital structure shrink or population growth exceed capital growth, real wages must fall. Any attempt to resist this movement only results in unemployment followed by calls from unioncrats and their mates to use subsidies to cut the cost of labour, i.e., wages.
It is vital to remember that because capital is heterogeneous expanding the capital structure means that not only does the structure become more complex as new capital combinations emerge (frequently embodying new technologies) but an increasing division of capital develops as more and more capital items become more specialised. It is this process that enables capital growth to overcome the law of diminishing returns. (Ludwig M. Lachman, Capital and its Structure, Sheed Andrews and McMeel Inc., 1978).
It should now be clear that the division of capital is just as important as the division of labour. And this is where the unions are at their most insidious. Labour and capital are complementary factors. Therefore any process of uniform wage-setting not only hinders the division of labour it also hinders the division of capital. This is guaranteed to keep living standards lower than they would otherwise be. It also helps to explain why freeing the labour market can increase productivity for a time without any additional investment.
Not only does economics mock the unionocracy’s phoney claim that they raise living standards but so does history. Fourteenth century England provides a graphic example of a rapid increase in real wages. Between 1348 and 1377 the population was slashed from 4.8 million to about 2.9 million by successive waves of the Black Death. This caused a massive increase in the ratio of land and capital to labour resulting in real wages rising by about 50 per cent.
In 1351 the crown passed maximum wage laws based on the average for the period 1325-1331. They were a complete failure. Employers were actually fined or imprisoned for breaking these laws, i.e., for paying high wages. By 1377 average real wages had at least doubled. Writing in 1375 John Gower, a country gentleman, lamented:
Labour is now at so high a price that he who will order his business aright, must pay five or six shillings now for what cost two in former times… the poor and small folk… demand to be better fed than their masters”.
In the late seventeenth century Samuel Pepys bitterly complained in his diary about how much he had to pay his cook:
...the first time I ever did give so much”. Sometime later he wrote:
“wages are very considerable; a fat Welsh girl who has just come out of the country, scarce understood a word of English, capable of nothing but washing, scouring and sweeping rooms...[received] six guineas a year, besides a guinea for her tea. (Pepys’ Diary).
In 1725 Defoe expressed disgust that the scarcity of women servants was driving up wages. In his own words:
Women servants are so scarce that...their wages are of late increased to six, seven, nay eight pounds per annum and upwards.... But the greatest abuse of all is that these creatures are become their own lawgivers; they hire themselves to you at their own will. That is a month’s wages or a month’s warning.
But Defoe also delighted in describing the rising living standards of the English masses. (See Plan of the English Commerce, 1728). It has been estimated that real English wages at the time were twice as high as those of the French. A more modern version of wages and servant girls is the situation of New York maidservants from 1913-1921. Their average wage in 1913 was $US3.50. (Living expenses were provided by the employer.)
The salutary story of New York maidservants is one of my favourite examples of the market driving up the wages of unskilled labour in the absence of unions or state-sanctioned wage rates. The supply of these servants was maintained by a steady flow of young black girls from the South and young women from Ireland and Germany. In 1913 these girls’ average weekly wage was $3.50. The supply of these girls had been maintained by a stream of young black girls from the South and girls from Ireland and Germany.
WW I war cut off the foreign supply of girls while redirecting the domestic supply into factories and offices. The result was maidservants’ wages started to rise significantly as employers competed against a reduced supply. By 1918 their weekly wages averaged $18. After the 1920-21 depression they fell to an average of $14 to $15 a week. Adjusting for inflation, their real wages had more than doubled in about six or seven years.
The nineteenth century saw real wages accelerate in Britain. Between 1810 and 1850 average real wages doubled. And if it had not been for the Napoleonic Wars the increase would have been very much greater. Overall, the century saw Britain’s output of consumer goods increase by 1600 per cent, the labour force by 400 per cent and real wages quadruple. This continual increase in British living standards was entirely due to capital accumulation, not any union body or wage-setting government agency. The same process (only to a larger degree) happened in America, where unions have always been weaker than their European counterparts.
One thing is crystal clear: It is only capital accumulation that raises living standards and not union action; and the free market is the only institution capable of creating the conditions in which capital accumulation can thrive and living standards continually rise. Nevertheless, enemies of the market will fervently argue otherwise, irrespective of facts or theory. To further their cause they will dig up any number of contradicting theories, fallacious reasoning, phoney facts and individual cases as evidence that the market leads to exploitation.
Let us take a hypothetical case of workers being intimidated by the threat of dismissal in to accepting wage cuts. Now the only time this could successfully happen in a free market is when a genuine deflation (a monetary contraction) has occurred. A deflation would have the effect of raising real wages rates by pulling down prices.
In such a case widespread unemployment would rise in response to wage rigidity. This is because deflation would raise real wages above the value of labour’s marginal product even though money wages remained unchanged. If the excessive rates were not allowed to adjust to the new monetary conditions a permanent “pool of able bodied unemployed” would emerge. This is what happened in the US in the 1930s and the UK between the wars.
It’s important to bear in mind that the demand curve for labour represents general productivity and not productivity in any one firm. It therefore follows that if a particular firm tried to forces wage rates below their market rate its employees would simply move to other firms. The importance of this fact cannot be over stated. The Franciscan priest and Spanish Scholastic Henrique de Villalobos wrote in 1632 that when labourers
say that the wage is below the just minimum [the market clearing rate], it seems that we cannot believe them, because if they could find another [employer] who would pay them more, they would go and work for him, but as they cannot find one, they are like goods that one [the potential buyer] has to beg [the purchaser]. . . . For that reason they have a lower value because the services are worth less when there is a dearth of employers, as are goods when there is a lack of buyers. . . . So they have nothing to complain about.
In other words, a firm cannot permanently pay labour below its market clearing price. Any attempt to do so will cause labour to move. Villalobos also stated that
It is against reason and justice to want someone to buy or hire at a price he does not want.
Note: It is of interest to note that the state’s Liberal Party blue bloods, Michael Kroger being one of them, adamantly refuse to use the above material to challenge union accusations that labour market reforms result in the exploitation of labour. I was recently advised by a Party member that their attitude is rooted in the absurd belief that only people with the “right social connections” could possibly have opinions that could merit consideration. This probably explains why Kroger and Julian Sheezel (state director of the Liberal Party) have arranged it so that only someone, I kid you not, “who is an important and influential figure” can address Party members.
Gerard Jackson is Brookes’ economics editor
BrookesNews.Com
Monday 24 April 2006